New York Orders and Shipments See Modest Gains, Inventories Rise
Manufacturing activity in New York state held steady in December, with the headline general business activity index retreating 31 points to 0.2 after rising sharpy in November. In December, the new orders index decreased to 6.1, falling 21.9 points, while the shipments index fell 23.1 points to 9.4, reflecting modest gains in both orders and shipments. Unfilled orders improved slightly to -8.4 from -10.3, while inventories grew from 1.0 to 10.5. Delivery times shortened, falling 10.5 points to -7.4, while supply availability was little changed, rising to 1.1.
Employment decreased slightly in December, with the index for the number of employees falling from 0.9 to -5.8. The average employee workweek also fell, from 6.1 to -3.9, signaling a decline in both employment and hours worked. Input and selling price increases moderated, as reflected in the prices paid index falling 6.7 points to 21.1 and the prices received index decreasing 8.2 points to 4.2.
Manufacturers felt fairly optimistic about the months ahead, but less positive than the prior month. The index for future business activity decreased to 24.6, with nearly 42% of respondents expecting conditions to improve over the next six months. Although inventories are expected to continue growing, the anticipated increase in new orders dropped from the prior month, falling 9.6 points to 21.8 in December.