Latest News
Fifth District Factory Growth Moderates, While Investment Outlook Improves Slightly
November 2, 2026Manufacturing activity in the Fifth District contracted at the same pace in October after declining in September, with the composite manufacturing index remaining at -2. At the same time, local business conditions also declined, falling from -6 to -8 in October. In line with worsening business conditions, manufacturers are less optimistic about the future, with…
Consumer confidence rises 7.5 points to 91.7 in October
November 2, 2026Consumer confidence rose 7.5 points in October to 91.7. Among its components, the Present Situation Index and Expectations Index both strengthened as consumers’ views of current conditions and their outlook for the future improved.
Federal Reserve holds rates at 3.75%–4.00% with two members dissenting
November 2, 2026As anticipated, the Federal Open Market Committee maintained its interest rate target range at 3.75%–4.00% at its October meeting. On the other hand, two FOMC members—Lisa Cook and Beth Hammack—dissented from the action, preferring to raise the target range by 25 basis points. In a change to its previous statement, the FOMC noted that the…
Real GDP grew 3.4% in third quarter, exceeding consensus expectations
November 2, 2026Real GDP increased at an annual rate of 3.4% in the third quarter of 2026, up from a 2.2% rise in the second quarter and above consensus expectations. The increase in GDP during the third quarter mostly reflected increases in consumer spending, investment and government spending, which were partially offset by reductions in exports.
Texas factory activity expands at slower pace as production index falls
November 2, 2026In October, Texas factory activity expanded at a slower pace after strengthening the prior month. The production index decreased from 29.5 to 15.8, but remained positive and above the series average of 9.7. The new orders and capacity utilization indices also both weakened, falling from 30.7 to 9.3 and from 23.9 to 13.7, respectively. At…
National home prices post 2.1% annual gain in August, Chicago leads
November 2, 2026In August, the S&P Cotality Case-Shiller U.S. National Home Price Index recorded a 2.1% annual gain, up from a 1.9% rise in July. The 10-City Composite increased 3.6% year-over-year, up from a 3.4% gain the previous month, while the 20-City Composite moved up 2.7%, up from 2.5%. Chicago again posted the highest annual gain at…
Manufacturers Gather to Build a Resilient Workforce
October 30, 2026second-highest concentration of manufacturing jobs per capita in the nation, making Indianapolis an ideal venue for these discussions. The insights: In mainstage keynotes, breakout sessions and brewing solutions conversations, attendees traded practical insights and strategies. Culture and retention: Eli Lilly spotlighted its work to support frontline workers’ success, using corporate communications, connection to the company’s…
