Trading to Win

The Promise of the USMCA

USMCA By The Numbers

The Most Pro-Manufacturing
Trade Agreement in History

2M+
American workers supported by exports to Mexico & Canada
1/3
of U.S.-manufactured goods exports go to Canada & Mexico
$580B
in U.S. mfg. sales to Canada & Mexico—more than the next 9 partners combined
71% / 64%
of imports from Canada / Mexico are industrial inputs for U.S. manufacturing

U.S. Manufacturing Investment Accelerator Program

To give manufacturers a runway of predictable access to critical materials and leading technologies from reliable suppliers that will accelerate the long-term investments needed to maintain America’s global edge, the NAM is proposing a U.S. Manufacturing Investment Accelerator Program.

Imported critical inputs are necessary for manufacturers to make things in America. If operating at full capacity, the industry could produce 84% of the inputs manufacturers need for production. That means that, at an absolute minimum, 16% of manufacturing inputs must be imported. Tariffs on critical manufacturing inputs dramatically increase the cost of these inputs, which include raw materials as well as equipment and machinery on factory floors across the country.

1. A Manufacturing Tariff Speed Pass

The administration should implement a general licensing system that grants preapprovals for duty-free imports of inputs and materials necessary for manufacturing activities in the U.S.

How It Works: Self-Certification Under a “General License”

  • General licenses would provide preexisting approval for any company meeting the criteria to import qualifying items free of duty.
  • Use would be self-determined by eligible parties, subject to U.S. Customs and Border Protection verification.
  • The president can direct the Treasury to implement the program under existing authorities.

What Qualifies for a General License?

  • Materials transferred intercompany and used for further processing in the U.S.
  • Materials, equipment, machinery, and parts used in manufacturing or maintenance.
  • Essential raw materials, chemicals, and other inputs in limited supply but needed for U.S. manufacturing.
  • Materials for R&D in the U.S.

2. A Manufacturing Investment Accelerator Rebate

The administration should provide a rebate to offset tariff costs when dollars are spent to expand or maintain manufacturing investments in the U.S. The rebate should be available on a rolling basis for actual dollars spent after April 5, 2025.

What Qualifies for a Rebate?

  • Dollars spent on new greenfield or brownfield investments.
  • Dollars spent on expanding or upgrading existing capacity, including capital improvements and maintenance.
  • Dollars spent to add full-time manufacturing employment.
  • Dollars spent on R&D in the U.S.

In a letter to the U.S. Trade Representative, the NAM has put forward a comprehensive critical minerals strategy to expand access to essential inputs, strengthen supply chain resilience and help manufacturers compete and grow. That strategy has two key components:

  1. First, policymakers should strengthen domestic critical minerals capacity by enacting comprehensive permitting reform, restoring strategic incentives for extraction and processing, investing in recycling, recovery and substitution technologies and expanding workforce development programs. This will help manufacturers access the critical inputs they need, reduce supply chain vulnerabilities and support more investment here at home.
  2. Second, the U.S. should advance an international critical minerals strategy that leverages partnerships with allies, unlocks project financing, secures stronger protections and offtake opportunities for U.S. investors, reduces tariff barriers on critical inputs and machinery and counters nonmarket distortions such as export restrictions and unfair state-backed advantages. This will help diversify supply chains, rebalance the global critical minerals market and ensure manufacturers can access the minerals they need to make more in America.

Trade Intelligence Center

Manufacturers across America depend on critical inputs imported from around the world. Increasing the cost of inputs will lead to shrinkage, not growth for American manufacturing.

 

United States

Increase in effective tariff rate on manufacturing inputs +15%
Imports of manufacturing inputs $1.1T
Manufacturing output per dollar of inputs imported $1.40
Top 3 Input Imports
1. Oils from Canada
2. Vehicle parts from Mexico
3. Oils from Mexico
Domestic Supply of Manufacturers’ Input and Capital Goods Needs
At current industrial capacity utilization 66%
At full industrial capacity utilization 84%
Minimum import requirement 16%

Manufacturing GDP $2.94T
Manufacturing employment 12.7M+

Key Facts

56%
of goods imported to the U.S. are manufacturing inputs
1/3
of all imported manufacturing inputs originate in North America
59%
of imports from Mexico are manufacturing inputs
70%
of imports from Canada are manufacturing inputs

Data sourced from the Bureau of Economic Analysis and the Census Bureau.
Manufacturing inputs are classified as all goods that fall under the capital goods, industrial supplies, and auto parts end use categories.

% who use imported manufacturing inputs to make things in America
% who use imported manufacturing inputs from USMCA partners
% of those who use inputs from USMCA partners that lack comparably priced domestic sources
Among all manufacturing respondents*
91%
74%
82%
Among small and medium manufacturer respondents**
87%
63%
75%

June 2026

Where U.S. trade policy stands now

Trade policy reached a pivot point in 2026 — and manufacturers are at the table for every piece of it: tariff refunds, the USMCA Joint Review and a new generation of agreements that open markets for products made in America.

Tariff refunds

~$85B flowing back

After the Supreme Court’s February 2026 ruling that IEEPA does not authorize tariffs, CBP is refunding duties through its CAPE system — and the NAM is guiding members through declarations, protests and deadlines.

The interim surcharge

10% until July 24, 2026

A Section 122 surcharge replaced the IEEPA tariffs — USMCA-compliant goods are exempt — while Section 301 actions are proposed to follow it. The NAM is filing exclusion comments on manufacturers’ critical inputs.

USMCA Joint Review

Negotiations underway

With the July 1, 2026 review milestone here, the NAM’s Built to Spec report and Task Force are making manufacturers’ case directly to U.S., Mexican and Canadian negotiators.

Opening markets

Zero-for-zero momentum

The European Parliament approved an agreement putting zero tariffs on U.S. industrial exports in reach, and the U.K. deal delivers a 0% tariff lane for American pharmaceuticals — outcomes the NAM has pressed for since 2025.

Critical minerals

$20B Quad initiative

The Quad’s critical minerals initiative and the $11.7B Project Vault strategic reserve align with the NAM’s two-pronged minerals strategy: build capacity at home, partner with allies abroad.

Deals in force

Taiwan, India, Japan, U.K.

New agreements cap industrial tariffs at 15% or below for key partners — with the NAM tracking implementation and pressing to extend zero-for-zero treatment to manufacturing inputs.

“Today’s decision underscores the importance of clarity and durability in U.S. trade policy. Manufacturers rely on stability to plan investments, grow operations and create jobs…. If tariffs are utilized as a tool, they should be targeted to countries engaged in specific unfair trade practices, particularly by nonmarket economies.” — Jay Timmons, NAM President & CEO, and Blake Moret, Rockwell Automation Chairman & CEO and NAM Board Chair, on the Supreme Court’s IEEPA ruling, February 20, 2026

Sources: Supreme Court ruling, Feb. 20, 2026; CBP CAPE refund filings and status reports (Mar.–Jun. 2026); Section 122 executive order (effective Feb. 24, 2026; expires July 24, 2026); USTR Section 301 notices (June 2026); NAM, Built to Spec (May 2026); Quad Critical Minerals Initiative announcement (May 2026).

Built to Spec: The USMCA Delivers

With the USMCA Joint Review underway, the NAM’s May 2026 report Built to Spec: USMCA Supports Millions of American Jobs and Drives U.S. Manufacturing Dominance makes the manufacturers’ case to negotiators in all three capitals: strengthen the most pro-manufacturing trade agreement in history — and use it to take on market-distorting practices from countries outside North America, specifically China.

View and download the NAM’s one-pager assessing the impact and value of U.S. imports of manufacturing inputs from North America — or read the full report.