News & Insights

In October, Texas factory activity continued to expand and at the same pace as the prior month. The production index was unchanged from September at 5.2, remaining below the average of 9.6. Meanwhile, other measures posted mixed results for the month. The new orders index inched up 0.9 points to -1.7. Capacity utilization fell 5.0 points to -1.1, while shipments declined 0.9 points to 5.8.

Perceptions of manufacturing business conditions remained negative in October, with the general business conditions index stepping up 3.7 points to -5.0. Meanwhile, the outlook also improved but remained negative, with the company outlook index ticking up 0.7 points to -0.3. The uncertainty index jumped 8.3 points to 22.2, well above the series average of 17.2.

Labor market indicators suggest an increase in headcounts but a decline in the workweek in October, with the employment index rising 5.4 points to 2.0 and the hours worked index falling 8.9 points to -5.5. Nearly 18% of firms reported net hiring while a smaller percentage (15.7%) noted net layoffs.

Price and wage pressures eased somewhat in October. The prices paid for raw materials index fell 10.0 points to 33.4. Meanwhile, the prices received for finished goods index declined 4.0 points to 7.7. The wages and benefits index decreased 1.7 points to 14.2, staying below the series average of 21.

The outlook for future manufacturing activity weakened in October, with the future production index falling 10.6 points to 21.0. Meanwhile, the future general business activity index and future company outlook index both stepped down, declining to 7.0 and 7.1, respectively.