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Flash Manufacturing PMI Hits a Four-Year High as Domestic Demand Strenghtens

The S&P Global Flash U.S. Manufacturing PMI increased from 52.3 to 54.0 in April, a 47-month high. This continues the trend of nine consecutive months of growth. Factory production and new order growth improved in April, with both experiencing their strongest expansion since 2022. Meanwhile, export orders declined after stagnating the prior month as a…

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Small Business Optimism Drops Below Average as Uncertainty and Inflation Concerns Rise

The NFIB Small Business Optimism Index stepped down 3 points to 95.8 in March, falling below the 52-year average of 98.0. March’s decrease was due primarily to a decline in earnings trends and expected business conditions. Of the 10 components included in the index, eight decreased and two stayed the same. Meanwhile, the Uncertainty Index…

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Trade Costs Climb as Import and Export Prices Pick Up

U.S. import prices increased 0.8% in March, after rising 0.9% in February, with higher nonfuel and fuel prices driving the increase. Over the year, import prices advanced 2.1%, the largest 12-month increase since December 2024. Meanwhile, U.S. export prices climbed 1.6% in March, driven by higher prices for nonagricultural and agricultural exports. Over the past…

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New York Factory Activity Rebounds as Orders and Shipments Hit Their Strongest Pace Since 2023

Manufacturing activity in New York state expanded in April, with the headline business conditions index rising 11.2 points to 11.0. The new orders index increased 12.9 points to 19.3, while the shipments index soared 27.1 points to 20.2, the highest level for both indexes since 2023. Unfilled orders decreased 1.7 points to 9.1, while inventories…

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Philly Manufacturing Survey Signals Stronger Momentum as Orders and Shipments Increase

In April, Philadelphia’s regional manufacturing activity expanded for the fourth consecutive month, with the index for general business activity advancing from 18.1 to 26.7. This month, 32.6% of firms reported increases in activity, while only 5.9% noted decreases. The index for new orders jumped from 8.6 to 33.0, while the shipments index climbed 11.8 points…

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Producer Prices Climb Year Over Year as Goods Inflation Accelerates

The Producer Price Index for final demand (also known as wholesale prices) rose 0.5% over the month in March, unchanged from the 0.5% increase in February and below expectations. Over the year, producer prices jumped 4.0%, up from 3.4% in February and the largest 12-month increase since February 2023. Meanwhile, prices for final demand excluding…

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Industrial Output Retreats as Factory Production Slips

Industrial production declined 0.5% in March, while manufacturing output ticked down 0.1% after moving up 0.4% in February. At 97.3% of its 2017 average, manufacturing production advanced 0.5% from March 2025. Capacity utilization for manufacturing was 75.3%, down 0.2 percentage points from February but up 1.1% over the past year. Capacity utilization remained 2.9 percentage…

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Policy and Legal

Q&A with Sen. Lankford on Tax Policy

NAM: Sen. Lankford, H.R. 1 permanently restored 100% bonus depreciation for qualifying property acquired after Jan. 19, 2025, reversing a phasedown that had reduced the deduction to 40% in 2025 and would have eliminated it by 2027. As a member of the Senate Finance Committee, what does permanent full expensing mean for manufacturers making long-lived…

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News

Factory Shipments Accelerate While New Orders Hold Steady

New orders for manufactured goods were virtually unchanged in February after staying the same in January. Meanwhile, new orders for manufactured goods increased 3.7% over the year. When excluding transportation, new orders rose 1.2% over the month and 1.7% year-over-year in February. Orders for durable goods declined 1.3%, following a 0.4% decrease in January. Year…

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