Policy and Legal

In his first address to Congress in his second term, President Trump made it clear that tariffs are not just a temporary tool, but a fixture of his administration’s trade policy. The president discussed his vision for an “America First” strategy, which includes the tariffs that went into effect Tuesday and last month.

In his words: “Deals are being made,” he said. “That’s a combination of the election win and tariffs. It’s a beautiful word, isn’t it?”

• “If you don’t make your product in America … you will pay a tariff and, in some cases, a rather large one. Other countries have used tariffs against us for decades, and now it’s our turn to start using them against those other countries.”
• “On average [according to the president], the European Union, China, Brazil, India, Mexico and Canada … and countless other nations charge us tremendously higher tariffs than we charge them. It’s very unfair.”
• “[On April 2,] reciprocal tariffs kick in, and whatever they tariff us, other countries, we will tariff them…If they do nonmonetary tariffs to keep us out of their market, then we will do nonmonetary barriers to keep them out of our market.”

On Canada and Mexico: “[W]e have very large deficits with both of them. … We pay subsidies to Canada and to Mexico of hundreds of billions of dollars. And the United States will not be doing that any longer. We are not going to do it any longer.”

• “Tariffs are about making America rich again and making America great again, and it is happening, and it will happen rather quickly. There will be a little disturbance, but we are OK with that.”

The NAM’s take: Ahead of the speech, NAM President and CEO Jay Timmons pointed out in a statement that manufacturers—especially those with thin margins—are already feeling the pressure from new tariffs. “The stakes couldn’t be higher for manufacturers right now,” he said. The NAM highlighted some examples after the tariffs went into effect yesterday from both small and large manufacturers:

• A power-engineering manufacturer faces $25 million in additional costs from the Mexico tariffs alone, impacting the ability to supply U.S. utilities and industrial customers.
• A major consumer goods manufacturer is looking at $231 million new costs from tariffs from Mexico and Canada.
• A small copper manufacturer was forced to turn back 388,000 pounds of copper at the Canadian border when tariffs took effect, with future imports costing an extra $50,000 per truckload.

Comprehensive manufacturing strategy: “To mitigate the adverse effects of today’s tariffs,” Timmons said, “President Trump and Congress [need] to implement a comprehensive manufacturing strategy that would create predictability and certainty to invest, plan and hire.”

• That strategy should include making President Trump’s 2017 tax reforms permanent and more competitive, securing regulatory certainty, expediting permitting reform to unleash American energy dominance and key manufacturing projects, increasing the talent pool and implementing a commonsense trade policy, Timmons added.
• In recent weeks, including with the NAM State of Manufacturing Address, Timmons has been raising the alarm on the need to move now on preserving and extending the 2017 tax reforms in the face of the uncertainty and price pressures.

The bottom line: “Building things in America only works if we can sell them around the world,” said Timmons. He added this morning: “That’s why we’re urging President Trump and Congress to provide greater predictability with a phase-in period for manufacturers to adjust to new trade realities, while also establishing clear exemptions for critical inputs, enabling reciprocity in manufacturing trade.”

• “President Trump can make American manufacturing greater than ever before by negotiating a ‘zero for zero’ tariffs manufacturing trade deal with our major trading partners,” Timmons said.

Developing: This morning on Bloomberg TV, Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick hinted publicly that he has heard the NAM and the industry’s urging for relief from tariffs on Canadian and Mexican imports for products that comply with the U.S.–Mexico–Canada Agreement—a signature achievement of President Trump’s first term.