ANALYSIS: New EPA Regulations Threaten at Least 852,100 Jobs and $162.4 Billion in Economic Activity
Manufacturers in the U.S. Are Leading the Way on Sustainability, Outpacing Global Competitors
Washington, D.C. – A new report conducted by Oxford Economics and commissioned by the National Association of Manufacturers warns that the Environmental Protection Agency’s proposed air quality regulations for particulate matter (PM2.5) are projected to threaten $162.4 billion to $197.4 billion of economic activity and put 852,100 to 973,900 current jobs at risk, both directly from manufacturing and indirectly from supply chain spending. In addition, growth in restricted areas may be constrained, limiting investment and expansion over the coming years. Due to these limited opportunities for expansion or investment, these areas in nonattainment could lose out on an additional $138.4 billion in output and 501,000 jobs through 2027.
Overall, the regulations could make it extraordinarily difficult to create new manufacturing jobs and protect existing manufacturing jobs in areas out of attainment. The regulations could also prevent much needed infrastructure improvements in these areas. This is because compliance with the regulations could require restricting manufacturing operations, resulting in fewer jobs, less investment and higher costs for consumers and families.
“Improving air quality in the U.S. is a top priority for manufacturers, and we’ve worked for years to make progress in delivering some of the cleanest manufacturing processes in the world,” said NAM President and CEO Jay Timmons. “This analysis makes clear these new regulations will weaken our ability to invest in the technology and processes that would continue to reduce emissions—while jeopardizing high-paying manufacturing jobs. We need to let manufacturers do what they do best: innovate and deploy modern technologies to protect the environment, while creating jobs and strengthening the economy.”
Key Findings:
- The regulations create a total economic exposure of $87.4 billion for manufacturing economic activity, equal to 2.4% of the U.S. manufacturing sector’s gross value added.
- The number of manufacturing jobs associated with this exposed activity is 311,600, or 1.9% of all U.S. manufacturing employment.
- Manufacturing in the U.S. exposed to the proposed standard supports between $75 billion and $110 billion in GDP and between 540,500 and 662,300 jobs in the U.S. through supply chain spending.
- Due to limits on expansion and investment, the proposed rule would put at risk approximately $138.4 billion of gross value added (in 2021 prices) and 501,000 jobs in 2027 in areas of nonattainment.
- Under the proposed rule, 200 counties could be placed out of attainment.
- California’s manufacturing sector will be most exposed, followed by Michigan and Illinois.
- Manufacturing operations in the U.S. are environmentally cleaner than the global average.
Find the latest information on the NAM’s efforts to oppose top-down air regulations, including statements from manufacturing leaders, here.
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The National Association of Manufacturers is the largest manufacturing association in the United States, representing small and large manufacturers in every industrial sector and in all 50 states. Manufacturing employs nearly 13 million men and women, contributes $2.90 trillion to the U.S. economy annually and accounts for 55% of private-sector research and development. The NAM is the powerful voice of the manufacturing community and the leading advocate for a policy agenda that helps manufacturers compete in the global economy and create jobs across the United States. For more information about the NAM or to follow us on Twitter and Facebook, please visit www.nam.org.
NAM Fights SEC Buybacks Rule
Yesterday, the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission finalized a rule that requires new disclosures from companies conducting stock buybacks.
The background: Stock buybacks are a commonplace practice that allow companies to ensure that their cash reserves are being used effectively. Returning capital to shareholders benefits both the company and its investors by increasing shareholder returns, enhancing capital formation and ensuring efficient capital allocation.
- Over the past few years, however, policymakers and regulators have taken steps to discourage buybacks, and the SEC has now finalized a rule targeting them.
The burden: The SEC’s rule imposes several new burdens on manufacturers conducting buybacks:
- A requirement that companies disclose detailed buyback data from each day of a fiscal quarter—imposing significant costs and dramatically increasing the complexity of businesses’ quarterly filings
- A requirement that companies provide disclosures justifying their buybacks, which could further politicize these capital allocation decisions
- New disclosures related to companies’ stock buyback programs and transactions by company management and boards of directors
The pushback: The NAM spoke out against the SEC’s rule when it was proposed last year, detailing the harm it would do to manufacturers.
- In particular, the NAM called on the SEC to reverse its proposed next-day disclosure requirement, which would have mandated upward of 250 new SEC filings per year for many public companies.
The result: Thanks to the NAM’s advocacy, the SEC’s final rule left out the daily disclosure requirement—a significant victory for manufacturers.
- However, companies will still be required to track daily buyback activity to comply with the quarterly day-by-day reporting mandate.
- In addition, the final rule maintained the proposal’s burdensome requirement that companies describe the “objectives or rationales” for any stock buybacks as well as the “process or criteria” used to set buyback targets.
The next steps: Most domestic companies will be required to provide daily buyback data in their Q4 2023 filings, meaning that daily tracking will begin in October 2023 and be reported to the SEC in early 2024. Most foreign companies will be required to comply in their Q2 2024 filings.
The last word: “The NAM is disappointed that the SEC has chosen to unjustifiably punish manufacturers for returning capital to their shareholders,” said NAM Managing Vice President of Tax and Domestic Economic Policy Chris Netram. “Manufacturers, investors, retirement plans and the entire economy benefit when companies can efficiently allocate capital via share repurchases.”
Further reading: The SEC rule is not the only action targeting buybacks in the past few years. The Inflation Reduction Act included a new tax on buybacks—which the NAM also opposed. It is currently engaging with the IRS to minimize the harm done to manufacturers by the tax. Read more here.
Manufacturers Call SEC Buybacks Rule a “Departure from Its Mission to Enhance Capital Formation and Protect Investors”
Washington, D.C. – Following the Securities and Exchange Commission’s decision to finalize its costly and unnecessary stock buybacks rule, National Association of Manufacturers Managing Vice President of Tax and Domestic Economic Policy Chris Netram released the following statement:
“The NAM is disappointed that the SEC has chosen to unjustifiably punish manufacturers for returning capital to their shareholders. Manufacturers, investors, retirement plans and the entire economy benefit when companies can efficiently allocate capital via share repurchases. The NAM was successful in convincing the SEC to abandon the most damaging aspect of its initial proposal, but the commission’s attempt to discourage these commonplace, commonsense transactions via an overly complicated, expensive and unworkable disclosure mandate is nevertheless a departure from its mission to enhance capital formation and protect investors.”
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The National Association of Manufacturers is the largest manufacturing association in the United States, representing small and large manufacturers in every industrial sector and in all 50 states. Manufacturing employs nearly 13 million men and women, contributes $2.81 trillion to the U.S. economy annually and accounts for 55% of private-sector research and development. The NAM is the powerful voice of the manufacturing community and the leading advocate for a policy agenda that helps manufacturers compete in the global economy and create jobs across the United States. For more information about the NAM or to follow us on Twitter and Facebook, please visit www.nam.org.
Tax Change Throws a Wrench in Westminster Tool’s Operations
As a family-owned small business that works with giant, complex industries like aerospace and medical devices, Westminster Tool knows its ability to innovate is what sets it apart. The 25-year-old company makes complex injection mold systems, composite tooling and components—including devices used in medical transplants and high-performance plastic parts for military aircraft.
- “We’re constantly looking to improve ourselves,” said Westminster Tool Chief Financial Officer Colby Coombs. “We’re always looking to push technological advancements, bring products to market faster, improve quality and reduce cost.”
So when a harmful R&D tax change went into effect, it caused real problems for the Connecticut-based company.
The change: Until recently, businesses could deduct 100% of their R&D expenses in the same year they incurred the expenses. But since last year, the tax code has required businesses to spread their R&D deductions out over a period of five years, making it much more expensive upfront to invest in the kind of innovation at which Westminster Tool excels.
The impact: As a result of the policy shift, Westminster Tool has found itself paying significantly more in taxes—and having to scale back its ambitions.
- “The impact has been large,” said Coombs. “Because of this change, I had to reconsider a contract that was going to mean new jobs and diversification just based on the cash flow that I needed in order to pay the government.”
- “Ultimately, this law may prohibit me from hiring more people, training more people in new skills, investing in our community and bringing in new work stateside.”
The uncertainty: As a result of uncertainty, small businesses are being forced to hold off on investments they can no longer afford.
- “I am at the mercy of this law, waiting to see how it plays out before I can make any large-scale investment in our business,” said Coombs. “It is putting massive pressure on our ability to grow and be an employer of choice in our community.”
The urgency: Coombs also emphasized the international nature of the challenge. With so many global competitors—especially those based in China, which provides a super deduction for manufacturers—an inability to invest in R&D will hurt manufacturing in the U.S.
- “If Congress doesn’t do the right thing this year, this is going to be a job growth prohibitor or a job killer,” said Coombs. “We are trying to compete with international competitors that aren’t hamstrung by this problem. If Congress fails to fix this issue, it will drastically impact my ability to compete with the global powers in our industry.”
The small business effect: Coombs notes that small businesses in particular will be harmed by this change, since they don’t have the cash reserves to take on significant new expenses.
- “Small companies don’t have the balance sheets to handle this,” said Coombs. “We are doing the best we can to survive, to represent our state, to make advancements and offer the best job opportunities we can. This law is prohibiting me from doing what we’re striving to do.”
The last word: “Failure by Washington to reverse this change will put companies underwater and out of business,” said Coombs.
You can find more information and ways to take action at the NAM’s R&D Action Center.
Permitting Reform Would Unlock U.S. Potential, NAM tells Congress
Reforming the permitting process for infrastructure projects could raise standards of living in America, unlock the full potential of ambitious recent legislation and make us less dependent on hostile foreign nations—all while making manufacturing in the U.S. more competitive, NAM President and CEO Jay Timmons told lawmakers yesterday.
What’s going on: Timmons gave testimony at “Opportunities to Improve Project Reviews for a Cleaner and Stronger Economy,” a hearing of the U.S. Senate Committee on Environment and Public Works, where he stressed the need to fix the needlessly time-consuming, complex permitting system.
- “For manufacturers, permitting reform is essential for our ability to compete in the global economy,” he said. “If we want more critical minerals for chip manufacturing, more domestic energy development and transport . . . more manufacturing facilities and jobs back home, better highways, bridges, airports [and] waterways, then we need permitting reform to make them a reality in the near future.”
Cut the wait: There is no reason for projects to take a decade or more to get approval, Timmons said.
- “If Washington could streamline the process—like manufacturers do in our businesses every single day—we could do more for this country,” Timmons continued, citing a White House Council on Environmental Quality report which found that environmental impact statements take an average of four-and-a-half years to complete.
- Timmons noted that in the case of one project, permits “from the U.S. Army Corps of Engineers were delayed a year due to the failure of the U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service to complete a required informal consultation under the Endangered Species Act.”
What to do: Timmons urged senators to work together to realize the following manufacturing priorities for permitting reform:
- Consolidated permitting processes with enforceable deadlines
- Fast approvals for transportation infrastructure projects
- A commitment to developing homegrown critical resources
- A moratorium on federal-agency regulations prior to the implementation of current standards
- Congressional assurance that lawmakers will hold the administration to recent and future statutory streamlining efforts
Protecting our values: Leaner, more efficient permitting and a commitment to sustainability and other American values can go hand in hand—and that’s exactly what manufacturers want, according to Timmons.
- “Manufacturers have a deep commitment to environmental stewardship, and we do not believe corners should be cut,” he said. “We believe in protecting our community, our neighbors and our environment. Reform is about . . . ensuring that this country—a democracy rooted in free enterprise—isn’t outpaced or outflanked or overtaken by nations that don’t share our values, don’t respect the environment or don’t recognize the dignity of human rights.”
Winton Machine CEO: Changes “Are Like a Tax on Manufacturing Growth”
Recent changes to the U.S. tax code are threatening manufacturers’ continued success—and they need to be reversed now, Winton Machine Company CEO and NAM board member Lisa Winton told U.S. lawmakers at a recent hearing.
What’s going on: Winton, whose 25-year-old company designs and manufactures machines used in tubular part and coaxial cable fabrication, testified before the House Ways and Means Committee at a hearing last Friday on the state of the American economy.
- Winton spoke about the challenges facing manufacturers and highlighted the impact of two recent changes to the tax code that increase the cost of financing machinery purchases: the phaseout of immediate expensing and limitations on deductions for interest on business loans.
- “While I would like to double the size of my facility, the cost of doing so has risen fourfold over the last several years,” said Winton, whose business is one of approximately 244,000 small manufacturers in the U.S.
Why it’s important: “These changes are like a tax on manufacturing growth,” Winton said.
- Winton expressed concern that “these changes will force our customers to keep using older pieces of equipment, rather than purchasing newer or additional ones, or they will buy cheaper equipment from Asia.”
- In addition to these two harmful changes, Winton spoke about another recent revision requiring businesses to deduct or amortize their R&D expenses over a period of years. This makes R&D more expensive because businesses “can [now] only recover a small portion of those costs each year.”
- In sharp contrast to this treatment, China currently allows a “super deduction” for manufacturers, Winton noted.
More to come: There are more harmful changes on the way. The 20% pass-through deduction is set to expire in 2025, “at the same time that tax rates for pass-through entities like ours go up across the board,” Winton said.
- In addition, a scheduled change to the estate tax could force family-owned businesses to sell off pieces of their companies.
The last word: “None of these tax changes are fair to our employees, their families [or] our communities,” she said. “We need to fix them so we’re not making it harder to do business in America.”
NAM, Arizona Chamber Host Sinema for Immigration Panel
Immigration reform is an economic necessity—and it needs to happen now in order to spur economic growth and keep manufacturing in the U.S. competitive, NAM President and CEO Jay Timmons told an audience at a recent roundtable in Phoenix featuring Sen. Kyrsten Sinema (I-AZ).
- “Manufacturers want to build consensus,” Timmons said. “Most Americans agree that our immigration system is broken. And we need to fix it, whether it’s major legislation or targeted, specific fixes.”
What went on: The NAM and the Arizona Chamber of Commerce & Industry hosted Sinema last Friday for a discussion on fixing immigration policy and other matters critical to manufacturers.
- A seven-person panel—which included Valley Forge & Bolt CEO Michele Clarke and Intel Corporation State Government Relations Senior Director Jason Bagley—talked about the current challenges facing manufacturers and the urgent need for solutions on immigration, workforce development, tax policy and more.
- Held at the Phoenix facilities of defense-electronics company Mercury Systems, the roundtable was part of the NAM’s Competing to Win Tour, a facility-visit and discussion circuit that began in February. Its aim: to bolster manufacturing competitiveness through conversations between manufacturers, political and community leaders, employees and the media.
What needs fixing: “As I travel across Arizona, I hear from employers of all sizes about the challenges they face filling jobs,” Sinema told the audience of manufacturers and industry stakeholders. “This is especially true in the manufacturing sector. That is why I’ve been hard at work identifying realistic solutions.”
- Indeed, the workforce “problem isn’t going away,” added Timmons, who moderated the event. “We have nearly 700,000 open jobs right now. And 4 million manufacturing jobs will need to be filled by the end of the decade, 2.1 million of which could go unfilled if more people are not brought into the industry … according to research from Deloitte and the Manufacturing Institute, the NAM’s workforce development and education partner.”
How to fix it: Part of the solution is right in front of us, Timmons said.
- “There are many policy fixes that could build our pipeline of skilled employees—people who can excel in manufacturing positions while contributing to our society and building lives for themselves in America.”
- He referenced “A Way Forward,” the NAM’s policy blueprint featuring implementable action items for legislators on immigration reform and related issues, such as the undocumented population and green-card backlog.
NAM on the air: Timmons and Arizona Chamber CEO Danny Seiden were guests on Phoenix radio station KTAR News’ “Mike Broomhead Show” to discuss the Competing to Win tour and the importance of manufacturing jobs.
NAM Poll: Noncompete Ban Would Be Harmful
The Federal Trade Commission is proposing to ban noncompete agreements, but doing so would disrupt the operations of most manufacturers, according to the findings of a recent NAM poll.
What’s going on: In February, the NAM polled manufacturing leaders to learn their thoughts on the impact of the FTC’s proposed rule, which would prohibit employers from imposing noncompete agreements on employees. Among the poll’s key takeaways:
- Approximately 70% of respondent manufacturers use noncompete agreements.
- The ban would cause a disruption for approximately 66% of manufacturers.
- The majority of manufacturers—about 89%—said they use noncompetes that last from six months to two years.
- Approximately half of manufacturers polled said a ban would have a negative impact on their investment in training and related programs.
Why it’s important: “Manufacturers use noncompete agreements only for select workers handling their most sensitive information, which cannot be allowed to fall into competitors’ hands,” said NAM Vice President of Infrastructure, Innovation and Human Resources Policy Robyn Boerstling.
- “These agreements are critical for protecting intellectual property. Banning them would force companies to completely change the way they operate and the way teams work together—disrupting workplaces, jeopardizing their ability to develop important new products and ultimately hurting customers.”
What should be done: If the FTC insists on moving forward with a noncompete rule, it should withdraw its current proposal and put forth a more tailored version “with exemptions clearly articulated and justified for the public’s consideration,” NAM Director of Labor and Employment Policy Brian Walsh told the agency.
NAM Applauds Congressional Focus on Key Manufacturing Tax Provisions
New Bipartisan, Bicameral Bill to Address Interest Deductibility Introduced Today
Washington, D.C. – Following the American Investment in Manufacturing (AIM) Act, bipartisan, bicameral legislation that would reinstate the Earnings Before Interest, Tax, Depreciation and Amortization (EBITDA) measure for U.S. businesses, National Association of Manufacturers President and CEO Jay Timmons released the following statement:
“America’s leadership in the world and our ability to defend American values depend on a strong and thriving manufacturing industry. The AIM Act will strengthen our ability to make critical investments in machinery and equipment while protecting more than 450,000 American jobs,” said Timmons. “We thank the bipartisan group of House and Senate members who understand that a competitive tax environment is a key driver to ensure that we can continue to grow and invest in manufacturing in America at this critical time.”
Over the past month, both chambers of Congress introduced legislation to 1) restore the immediate deductibility of research and development costs; 2) reverse the new, stricter limit on interest deductibility; and 3) revise the tax code to restore businesses’ ability to take 100% deductions for equipment and machinery purchases in the tax year of purchase.
“While the U.S. tax code is making it harder for manufacturers to grow, other countries are encouraging industrial investment. For example, China is giving manufacturing companies there a 200% deduction for R&D, while the U.S. only offers a fraction of that. The legislation that’s been introduced can help us turn the tables and make it easier for America to out-innovate China,” Timmons added. “So we’re asking Congress and the Biden administration to make passage of these bills a priority so we can build on the successes that we had following tax reform in 2017, when manufacturers were able to keep their promises and invest in their companies and communities across the board.”
Background:
Research and development: On Jan. 1, 2022, a harmful tax change went into effect that makes R&D more expensive in the United States by requiring businesses to deduct their R&D expenses over a period of years.
Read more about the NAM’s work on this provision here.
Interest deductibility: When manufacturers borrow funds to buy capital equipment, the interest they pay on those loans is tax deductible up to a certain limit. But a recent change in the tax law modified how that limit is calculated—shrinking the deduction for companies that invest in long-lived depreciable assets, making debt financing more expensive and the U.S. an outlier among advanced economies and leaving less capital for job creation and investment.
Read more about the NAM’s work on this provision here.
Full expensing: Under the 2017 tax law, manufacturers were able to deduct 100% of their investments in assets with long, useful lives, supporting their ability to acquire vital equipment and strengthening their competitiveness. However, the ability to deduct 100% of these costs began to phase down at the beginning of 2023 and is set to expire completely in 2027.
See how full expensing has benefited small manufacturers in the United States here.
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The National Association of Manufacturers is the largest manufacturing association in the United States, representing small and large manufacturers in every industrial sector and in all 50 states. Manufacturing employs nearly 13 million men and women, contributes $2.90 trillion to the U.S. economy annually and accounts for 55% of private-sector research and development. The NAM is the powerful voice of the manufacturing community and the leading advocate for a policy agenda that helps manufacturers compete in the global economy and create jobs across the United States. For more information about the NAM or to follow us on Twitter and Facebook, please visit www.nam.org.
Timmons Receives Bryce Harlow Business-Government Relations Award
Every year the Bryce Harlow Foundation gives its Business–Government Relations Award to an individual who’s given their all to a career in professional advocacy—and this year, that person was NAM President and CEO Jay Timmons.
Honorees: On Wednesday evening in Washington, D.C., the foundation held its 42nd Bryce Harlow Foundation Annual Awards reception and dinner. The night’s awardees were Timmons and Rep. Debbie Dingell (D-MI), the winner of the foundation’s other honor, the Bryce Harlow Award.
- Timmons was introduced by Dow Inc. Chairman and CEO (and NAM Board Chair) Jim Fitterling, who called the NAM leader “ethical down to his bones” and said, “Jay has a reputation of working honestly and earnestly with Democrats, Republicans and Independents, and he earned that reputation because fundamentally he’s committed to policy solutions that create a win–win, not only for both political parties, but also for American manufacturers and American workers.”
- Dingell also praised Timmons’ steadfast, post-partisan approach to manufacturing advocacy. “He has worked to make sure Democrats and Republicans are part of the discussion about manufacturing and understand how critical it is to this country. … To be honored in the same year as you, Jay, means more than you’ll ever know.”
- In his own remarks, Timmons praised both Bryce Harlow Foundation President Barbara Faculjak’s “outstanding leadership” and Rep. Dingell’s “incredible example for [the next] generation.”
Pep talk: Also honored at the dinner were the 2022–2023 Bryce Harlow fellows, a group of 30 graduate students pursuing careers in advocacy through government relations or lobbying. Timmons spoke directly to them for most of his speech.
- “Over the course of your careers, you will face important decisions,” he said. “You’ll ask yourself questions like, ‘Where should I work?’ ‘What will I do next?’ ‘How much can I make?’ … I want to encourage you to ask another: ‘Why?’”
- “The question matters … because if you can answer honestly and feel yourself standing up a little straighter with a sense of purpose, then you’re in the right profession,” he said. “If your ‘why’ is right … then the ‘what,’ ‘where’ and ‘how much’ will take care of themselves.”
- Timmons went on to tell the fellows part of his own story: how he dropped out of college to move to D.C. and “join the Reagan Revolution”—against his parents’ wishes. But even then he was able to answer his own “why.”
The manufacturing “why”: For the NAM, the organizational “why” is “to advance the values of free enterprise, competitiveness, individual liberty and equal opportunity.”
- Timmons told the students that part of their jobs “as advocacy leaders” would be to defend democracy, now under attack in Russia’s war against Ukraine and elsewhere in the world. While not perfect, Timmons said, democracy has done more to improve people’s quality of life than any other system in history.
Your authentic self: “[T]here was always something or someone who told me to change course or that I wasn’t right for a job—including those voices that told me to pack it up when I was outed as a gay man at a time when that wasn’t exactly an asset for a career,” Timmons said. “If I’d listened, I wouldn’t be here.”
- Today Timmons is the president and CEO of the country’s largest manufacturing association and is happily married with three children.
- “So bring your authentic self to the table,” he concluded. “Soak in all the knowledge and wisdom you can from others. But ultimately, have confidence in your own inner voice, your own judgment and your own vision.”
Click here for Timmons’s full remarks.