Transportation and Infrastructure

During meetings this week, the U.S. and China attempted to restore high-level bilateral interactions and reverse the tension growing between the two nations, according to The Wall Street Journal (subscription).

What’s going on: “During two days of meetings in Beijing, [U.S. Secretary of State Antony] Blinken and senior Chinese foreign-policy officials agreed to more high-level talks, continuing a thaw after months of near-frozen contacts.”

• “They also promised to find common ground on increasing flights between the two countries and combating the flow of fentanyl into the U.S.”

The background: In recent months, U.S.–China relations have been on a downward trend, following U.S. detection of what the Biden administration said was a Chinese spy balloon.

• Last year, the U.S. imposed restrictions on the export of certain advanced technology to China and is expected to issue new limits on U.S. investments overseas.
• China has taken issue with these moves, as well as with U.S. support for ally Taiwan.
• Some 67% of Americans say China is a “major threat” to the U.S., according to a Pew Research Center questionnaire. That’s up from 43% in 2015.

Topics discussed: During his visit, Blinken raised a number of issues, including tensions over Taiwan and North Korean aggression. He also discussed China’s trade-distorting practices, human rights violations, imprisonment of U.S. citizens and position on Russia’s war against Ukraine, according to POLITICO.

• The meetings also touched on areas of mutual interest, including climate, macroeconomic stability, food security and public health.

What didn’t happen: Blinken’s visit to China—the first by a U.S. cabinet member in more than four years—did not produce substantive advancement on the above issues. However, the meeting served as a starting point for future high-level communications.

• Officials did not address Chinese intelligence movements in Cuba or the establishment of “a military communication channel between the countries to address frequent incidents around Taiwan … a key goal of the Biden administration.”

​​​​​​​Business with China: “Blinken said he also met with members of the U.S. business community on Monday, many of whom expressed a desire to continue to grow their operations in China,” according to POLITICO.

• “He said a full decoupling of the American and Chinese economies would be disastrous, pointing to record trade between the two last year, but said the U.S. would continue to take steps to make American supply chains more resilient and deny China technologies that threaten U.S. national security.”

Unions and their employers at 29 West Coast ports have reached a tentative deal resolving a labor crisis that has lasted almost a year, reports CNBC.

No details yet: While the deal will last six years and cover all 29 ports, no details have been released yet.

• “We are pleased to have reached an agreement that recognizes the heroic efforts and personal sacrifices of the ILWU workforce in keeping our ports operating,” said Pacific Maritime Association President James McKenna and International Longshore and Warehouse Union President Willie Adams in a joint statement.

​​​​​​ Ramping back up: Workers at several ports had engaged in slowdowns or had not shown up for shifts over the course of the past two weeks, leading to delays and congestion.

• “The ports, which are currently running at 70% capacity, will need several days to clear out the containers once a full labor force is back to work.”

​​​​​​​The NAM says: “Manufacturers welcome last night’s announcement of a long-term deal between the #ILWU and #PMA. Certainty at America’s West Coast ports ensures reliability in domestic shipping lanes and keeps manufacturing in America competitive and thriving,” tweeted NAM President and CEO Jay Timmons.

• “@POTUS understands that manufacturing is the backbone of our economy, and @ShopfloorNAM thanks President Biden for his leadership in bringing these parties back together to reach a final agreement that eliminates the threat of additional supply chain disruptions.”

Manufacturing production crept up 0.1% in May, following a gain of 0.9% in April, according to new data from the Federal Reserve.

Durable vs. nondurable: While durable goods production rose 0.3%, the nondurable goods sector declined 0.1%.

Economic context: Since April of last year, when manufacturing posted its highest production numbers since the end of 2018, output in the sector has declined 0.7% due to geopolitical tensions and a shakier economy.

What’s next? Production is forecasted to fall 0.6% in 2023 but expand 1.2% in 2024.

Mixed data: About half of the manufacturing sectors measured saw a decline in production, and half saw an increase. Those on the upswing included:

• Aerospace and miscellaneous transportation equipment (up 2.5%);
• Petroleum and coal products (up 1.7%);
• Electrical equipment, appliances and components (up 1.4%); and
• Nonmetallic mineral products (up 0.9%).

China’s cyber-spying capabilities are “an epoch-defining threat,” the top U.S. cybersecurity official warned this week, according to CNBC.

What’s going on: Aggressive cyber actions by China are “‘the real threat that we need to be prepared for,’ Cybersecurity and Infrastructure Security Agency Director Jen Easterly said at an appearance Monday at the Aspen Institute in Washington, D.C.”

• Easterly was answering a question about the recent discovery of Chinese cyberattacks on the U.S. military and the private sector, by a group dubbed “Volt Typhoon.”

Why it’s important: The U.S. should expect groups like Volt Typhoon to try to target pipelines and railways, Easterly said, adding, “It’s going to be very, very difficult for us to prevent disruptions from happening.”

The backdrop: Tensions have escalated between China and the U.S., leading to greater concern about attacks.

• “Fending off cyber threats from China and Asia has become a top priority for the U.S. government, which has begun to describe in clearer and blunter terms the links between the Chinese government and myriad hacking groups.”

More than 99% of International Longshore and Warehouse Union Canada workers whose jobs are critical to West Coast port operations voted in favor of a labor strike, according to CNBC.

What’s going on: “The vote, which took place on June 9–June 10, occurred during a 21-day cooling-off period between the British Maritime Employers Association and ILWU Canada. Negotiations with the Federal Maritime Conciliation Service started on March 28. Two mediators appointed by the Canadian government were overseeing the discussions that ran through the end of May.”

• June 24 is the soonest a strike would occur.

In the U.S.: The Canadian development—which threatens the Port of Vancouver, the largest port in Canada—comes as tensions rise in the U.S. between the ILWU and the Pacific Maritime Association, which have been negotiating a labor contract since May 2022.

Why it’s a problem: About 15% of container trade that comes through the Port of Vancouver is destined for or coming from the U.S.

• “Canadian shippers could shift trade to the neighboring Port of Seattle, but the Port of Seattle has been significantly impacted by labor slowdowns and work stoppages which led to its closure on Saturday as the ILWU in the U.S. continues to negotiate with the Pacific Maritime Association for a new contract, with wages and automation proving to be sticking points.”

Why it’s important: The events in Canada are “a significant blow to operations on the West Coast,” ITS Logistics Vice President of Drayage and Intermodal Paul Brashier told the Journal.

• “These ports are vital to Midwest manufacturers and the auto industry, as most transpacific freight enters at these points prior to interlining to rail and going to inland rail ramps in Chicago and other major markets. More significant is that these ports were used as relief valves to avoid ILWU activity.”

Our view: The NAM has been recommending White House intervention in the U.S. labor dispute for many months.

• “[With] the dramatic impact of port closures, your leadership and intervention are needed,” NAM President and CEO Jay Timmons told President Biden last week. “Manufacturers respectfully encourage you to bring the parties back together and reach a final agreement that reopens our West Coast ports and eliminates the threat of additional supply chain disruptions.”

The U.S. railway system may be a solution to serious energy problems, according to ENERGYWIRE’s E&E News (subscription).

What’s going on: During extreme weather events, “trains could dispatch batteries across the country, preventing blackouts without expensive new energy infrastructure,” according to a new Department of Energy study cited by the news source.

• The fix would be less expensive than constructing either new transmission infrastructure or standalone battery storage for extreme-weather occurrences, researchers found.

Why it’s important: Approximately two-thirds of the U.S. is at risk of blackouts this summer, the North American Electric Reliability Corporation warned recently.

Power by rail: Just one train could carry enough battery storage to supply 50,000 households with energy for 12 hours, researchers found.

• “The reach of the country’s 140,000-mile rail network also makes it attractive from a grid perspective, since it extends into dense population centers and transmission-congested regions. That reach has already prompted DOE to identify rail rights-of-way as potential hot spots for a transmission buildout.”

However … While mobile battery storage looks promising, it needs further exploration on a larger scale, one source told E&E News.

The Department of Energy will give an $850 million loan to battery cell developer KORE Power for the construction of a domestic battery manufacturing plant, The Hill reports.

What’s going on: The DOE on Friday announced the conditional loan to build “KOREPlex” in Buckeye, Arizona, as part of a broader strategy to “strengthen the U.S.’s supply chain for batteries for electric vehicles as well as for energy storage,” according to The Hill.

• It’s a milestone in the Biden administration’s objective to make half of all new vehicles sold in the U.S. in 2030 zero-emissions, according to the DOE.

Why it’s important: Once operational, the facility is expected to produce enough battery-cell storage to power more than 28,000 electric vehicles annually, the DOE said.

• The project is slated to create as many as 700 temporary construction jobs and 1,250 permanent operations positions.

The number of ships waiting to dock at the ports of Los Angeles and Long Beach is growing as labor slowdowns continue, according to CNBC.

What’s going on: “On Wednesday, six vessels were delayed at the Port of Los Angeles, while two vessels at the Port of Long Beach were at anchor on arrival—unable to interface with the port operations, according to a vessel update announced by the Marine Exchange of Southern California Vessel Traffic Service, Los Angeles and Long Beach.”

• The backlogs are the result of a long-simmering labor dispute between the International Longshore and Warehouse Union and the Pacific Maritime Association—dockworkers and their employer, respectively.
• Earlier this week, the largest terminal operator at the Port of Long Beach closed for day and night shifts, following a weekend when many longshore workers did not show up for work. Scattered labor activity has resulted in operational disruptions at ports across the coast since last Friday.

The background: The ILWU and PMA have been negotiating terms of a work contract for more than a year, and dockworkers have been operating without a contract since last July.

Why it’s important: “Data from MarineTraffic shows that vessel problems are shifting from isolated to more pervasive. Over the past 2½ months, average wait times at anchorage in LA were between a half-day to 1½ days, with service time averaging of two to five days. ‘This indicates we’ve broken past the ‘normal’ and are back into a stressed maritime supply chain,’ said Capt. Adil Ashiq, head of North America for MarineTraffic.”

• The disruptions—which come as peak inventory-building season begins for shippers—could ultimately contribute to the kind of container congestion seen during the global pandemic.

Pushing for White House weigh-in: On Wednesday, NAM President and CEO Jay Timmons urged President Biden to intervene in the negotiations and cited an economic study that found even a brief, localized port closure could cost the U.S. economy nearly $500 million a day.

• “This ongoing work stoppage will exacerbate inflation and lead to dramatic economic consequences across all industrial and consumer product sectors,” wrote Timmons. “Your leadership and intervention are needed.”

Two-thirds of the U.S. is at risk of energy shortfalls this summer—and that share is only going to grow “[u]nless reliability and resilience are appropriately prioritized,” the North American Electric Reliability Corporation warned the Senate at a recent hearing, according to CBS Austin.

What’s going on: In most of the country, “there is the potential of running low on resources including electricity,” CBS reports. “The causes include an overwhelmed electric grid, the slowing use of fossil fuels like coal and natural gas to balance the use of the grid and new regulations like a lengthy permitting process that makes developing new energy take too long.”

• The NERC recently released its 2023 Summer Reliability Assessment, in which it details how, in the current push toward greater use of renewables, “the pace of change is overtaking the reliability needs of the [transmission grid] system,” NERC President and CEO James Robb told the Senate Energy and Natural Resources Committee last week.

​​​​​​​ Why it’s important: “The hearing comes as more and more Americans are expected to rely on electricity, even being rewarded by switching to electric cars,” according to CBS. “‘When electricity is unreliable, the potential consequences are catastrophic, including loss of human life,’ said Sen. Joe Manchin, D-W.Va., the committee chairperson.”

What can be done: NERC suggests a multipronged plan to shore up grid reliability. This includes:

• Better management of the “pace of change” to mix in more renewables and continued use of traditional energy;
• More natural gas infrastructure to make the grid more resilient; and
• Increased investment in energy storage technologies “and/or hydrogen production and delivery systems.”

​​​​​​​The last word: “Manufacturers rely on access to reliable and affordable energy to power their operations—so if the grid is unreliable, not only will manufacturers suffer, but American families will suffer, too,” said NAM Vice President of Energy and Resources Policy Brandon Farris.

• “The NAM supports an all-of-the-above energy approach that includes renewables, natural gas, nuclear, clean hydrogen and others, as well as efforts to shore up grid reliability.”
• “We must also continue to work on permitting reform to ensure we can build new energy projects in a timely manner and get them connected to a stable grid.”

House Republicans are taking the first steps toward restoring tax provisions important to manufacturers, according to The Wall Street Journal (subscription).

What’s happening: Legislators are working to get a bill through the House Ways and Means Committee, potentially as soon as this month, though it’s unlikely to ever reach President Biden’s desk. Instead, this effort might ultimately lead to bipartisan negotiations later this year.
 
What’s in it: The bill hasn’t been released yet, but we do know something about tax writers’ intentions.

• The package would “reverse three business-tax increases that took effect over the past few years, aides said. Those changes limited the deductions companies could claim for interest, research costs and capital expenses.”
• Democrats may be willing to negotiate, especially about reinstating immediate expensing for R&D, undoing a 2022 tax change that has forced companies to deduct R&D costs over a period of years and made innovation more costly.

NAM at work: The NAM has been leading the charge to restore immediate R&D expensing, to enable manufacturers to continue financing growth and make permanent a key incentive for capital equipment purchases.

What we’re saying: As NAM Managing Vice President of Tax and Domestic Economic Policy wrote this week to the House Small Business Subcommittee on Economic Growth, Tax and Capital Access:

• “Several harmful tax changes have gone into effect recently that make it more costly to perform research, buy machinery and finance capital investments. If not reversed, these policies will hurt manufacturers’ ability to innovate, create jobs in the United States, invest in their communities and effectively compete in the global economy.”

As part of the NAM’s advocacy campaign, the NAM recently released the Full Expensing Action Center. This action center, which is in addition to the existing R&D and interest deductibility action centers, features a tool enabling manufacturers to send customized messages directly to Congress.