Labor and Employment

Washington, D.C. – The leading organizations representing manufacturers and millions of manufacturing workers in the United States, Mexico and Canada released the following statement on the three-year anniversary of the United States–Mexico–Canada Agreement (USMCA/T-MEC/CUSMA)

“On this three-year anniversary, we recognize the substantial value that the United States–Mexico–Canada Agreement has represented for our industry’s competitiveness, our economies and North American workers. Manufacturing is critical for the entire North American economy. Our closely integrated supply chains contribute more than $3 trillion annually to the North American economy, and more than $2 billion worth of manufactured goods cross our borders each day.

“Free trade has benefited manufacturers across North America for decades, and the USMCA helps to secure those advantages. The USMCA can only reach its full potential if it is fully implemented in a manner that upholds its letter and spirit. The National Association of Manufacturers, the Confederation of Industrial Chambers of Mexico and Canadian Manufacturers & Exporters continue to strongly and respectfully urge political leaders of all three countries to work together to live up to the commitments of the agreement, which garnered broad support in the U.S., Mexico and Canada. Full compliance with the agreement will provide certainty for the more than 23 million manufacturing workers in the United States, Mexico and Canada and boost our region’s ability to take full advantage of the one-in-a-generation opportunity to strengthen our supply chains though the attraction of new economic activities to North America.

“The strong and unique partnership between the U.S., Mexico and Canada goes beyond our economic alliance. It is rooted in our shared values of democracy, the rule of law, transparency, free enterprise and opportunity. As we see those values under attack around the world, it is critical that we strengthen our regional alliance to elevate and defend those values—for the good of our people and people around the world, as well as for our economic and national security.”

-NAM-

The National Association of Manufacturers is the largest manufacturing association in the United States, representing small and large manufacturers in every industrial sector and in all 50 states. Manufacturing employs nearly 13 million men and women, contributes $2.90 trillion to the U.S. economy annually and accounts for 55% of private-sector research and development. The NAM is the powerful voice of the manufacturing community and the leading advocate for a policy agenda that helps manufacturers compete in the global economy and create jobs across the United States. For more information about the NAM or to follow us on Twitter and Facebook, please visit www.nam.org.

The U.S. economy grew more robustly in Q1 of 2023 than previously calculated, according to a large upward revision from the Commerce Department on Thursday, CNBC reports.

What’s going on: “Gross domestic product increased at a 2% annualized pace for the January-through-March period, up from the previous estimate of 1.3% and ahead of the 1.4% Dow Jones consensus forecast. This was the third and final estimate for Q1 GDP. The growth rate was 2.6% in the fourth quarter.”

Why it’s important: The news may indicate that the U.S. is not headed toward economic recession.

• A separate report released this week shows that layoffs were below expected levels, “indicating that labor market strength has held up even in the face of the Federal Reserve’s 10 interest rate hikes totaling 5 percentage points.”
• Unemployment claims were down last week, too, according to the Labor Department.

The NAM says: “While the latest NAM Manufacturers’ Outlook Survey  revealed that most manufacturers predict a recession in the next 12 months, it is also possible that the U.S. economy could achieve the ‘soft landing’ that the Federal Reserve and other policymakers have been seeking,” said NAM Chief Economist Chad Moutray.

• “This is particularly true if the labor market remains solid and if spending continues to hold up. The current outlook is for the U.S. economy to expand 1.7% in 2023, with 1.2% growth in 2024.”

Anheuser-Busch has a solid history of supporting its U.S. facilities and partners, and now it’s expanding those efforts.

What’s going on: The beer giant will give financial and other assistance to its wholesalers, distributors and frontline workers, it announced in a memo and regulatory filing with the Securities and Exchange Commission this month.

• Aid to partners and workers will include wholesaler financial support and sales incentive payments, reimbursements for freight and fuel surcharges and extended lines of credit though the end of the year, as well as financial assistance for local marketing efforts.

“Beer is for everyone”: The financial announcements came just days before the release of Bud Light’s “Easy to Drink, Easy to Enjoy” campaign.

• Other components of the campaign are weekly $10,000 giveaways, Fourth of July weekend rebates and chances to win tickets to local shows in the national Bud Light Backyard Tour, which will feature country music artists Seaforth and Tyler Braden.

Origin story: Today Anheuser-Busch launches its “That’s Who We Are” effort to show where the company’s beers come from and who’s involved in making them. More than 140 growers, employees, wholesalers and other partners participated in the filming of the campaign’s first ad.

The last word: “As we move forward, we will focus on what we do best—brewing great beer and earning our place in moments that matter to you,” Anheuser-Busch CEO Brendan Whitworth said in the memo. “We are a beer company, and beer is for everyone.”

Consumer confidence hit its highest level in nearly a year-and-a-half in June, Reuters (subscription) reports.

What’s going on: “The Conference Board said its consumer confidence index rose to 109.7 this month, the highest reading since January 2022, from 102.5 in May. Economists polled by Reuters had expected the index to climb to 104.0.”

On jobs: The survey’s labor market differential, which comes from respondent views on the difficulty of getting jobs, increased to 34.4 in June from 30.7 in May—a sign that many still view the labor market as tight.

• This finding is in keeping with a key data point in the NAM’s Q2 Manufacturers’ Outlook Survey, in which the majority (74.4%) of manufacturers cited attracting and retaining a quality workforce as a top challenge.

What we’re saying: The latest consumer confidence index is good news, according to NAM Chief Economist Chad Moutray.

• “Americans felt more upbeat in their assessments of both current and future conditions, with improved prospects for jobs and a strengthened overall economic outlook, including for household finances,” he said.

In other good news: Sales of new homes increased to a 15-month high in May, up 20% from a year ago, bolstering hopes that the U.S. economy might avoid a recession.

Anheuser-Busch has a solid history of supporting its U.S. facilities and partners, and now it’s expanding those efforts.

What’s going on: The beer giant will give financial and other assistance to its wholesalers, distributors and frontline workers, it announced in a memo and regulatory filing with the Securities and Exchange Commission this month.

• Aid to partners and workers will include wholesaler financial support and sales incentive payments, reimbursements for freight and fuel surcharges and extended lines of credit though the end of the year, as well as financial assistance for local marketing efforts.

“Beer is for everyone”: The financial announcements came just days before the release of Bud Light’s “Easy to Drink, Easy to Enjoy” campaign.

• Other components of the campaign are weekly $10,000 giveaways, Fourth of July weekend rebates and chances to win tickets to local shows in the national Bud Light Backyard Tour, which will feature country music artists Seaforth and Tyler Braden.

Origin story: Today Anheuser-Busch launches its “That’s Who We Are” effort to show where the company’s beers come from and who’s involved in making them. More than 140 growers, employees, wholesalers and other partners participated in the filming of the campaign’s first ad.

The last word: “As we move forward, we will focus on what we do best—brewing great beer and earning our place in moments that matter to you,” Anheuser-Busch CEO Brendan Whitworth said in the memo. “We are a beer company, and beer is for everyone.”

The Protecting the Right to Organize Act would “devastate workplaces” if enacted, the NAM told the Senate this week.

What’s going on: The PRO Act—introduced in February by Rep. Robert C. Scott (D-VA) purportedly to expand labor protections—would do significant harm to manufacturers, NAM Director of Labor and Employment Policy Brian Walsh told Committee Chairman Bernie Sanders (I-VT) and Ranking Member Bill Cassidy (R-LA) Tuesday.

What it would do: The PRO Act contains “proposals that would constitute the most radical rewrite of our nation’s employment laws in nearly 100 years,” including:

• Removal of the right to a secret ballot in union elections and the institution of “card check”
• Elimination of right-to-work statutes in the 27 states in which they are law
• Forced payment of union due even by non-union-supporting employees
• A ban on employers talking to their workers about unions without the involvement of a union representative

What should be done: Walsh urged the committee members “to oppose this misguided attempt to fundamentally restructure American workplaces” and instead put their support behind measures that truly support employees.

• “We look forward to opportunities to continue working with members of the [c]ommittee … on legislation such as the Employee Rights Act (S. 1201) to advance productive solutions that meet the needs of today’s workers,” he said.

The Protecting the Right to Organize Act would “devastate workplaces” if enacted, the NAM told the Senate this week.

• Today the legislation heads to the Senate Committee on Health, Education, Labor and Pensions for a markup session.

What’s going on: The PRO Act—introduced in February by Rep. Robert C. Scott (D-VA) purportedly to expand labor protections—would do significant harm to manufacturers, NAM Director of Labor and Employment Policy Brian Walsh told Committee Chairman Bernie Sanders (I-VT) and Ranking Member Bill Cassidy (R-LA) Tuesday.

What it would do: The PRO Act contains “proposals that would constitute the most radical rewrite of our nation’s employment laws in nearly 100 years,” including:

• Removal of the right to a secret ballot in union elections and the institution of “card check”
• Elimination of right-to-work statutes in the 27 states in which they are law;
• Forced payment of union dues even by nonunion-supporting employees; and
• A ban on employers talking to their workers about unions without the involvement of a union representative.

What should be done: Walsh urged committee members “to oppose this misguided attempt to fundamentally restructure American workplaces” and instead put their support behind measures that truly support employees.

• “We look forward to opportunities to continue working with members of the [c]ommittee … on legislation such as the Employee Rights Act (S. 1201) to advance productive solutions that meet the needs of today’s workers,” he said. ​​​​​​​

Unions and their employers at 29 West Coast ports have reached a tentative deal resolving a labor crisis that has lasted almost a year, reports CNBC.

No details yet: While the deal will last six years and cover all 29 ports, no details have been released yet.

• “We are pleased to have reached an agreement that recognizes the heroic efforts and personal sacrifices of the ILWU workforce in keeping our ports operating,” said Pacific Maritime Association President James McKenna and International Longshore and Warehouse Union President Willie Adams in a joint statement.

​​​​​​ Ramping back up: Workers at several ports had engaged in slowdowns or had not shown up for shifts over the course of the past two weeks, leading to delays and congestion.

• “The ports, which are currently running at 70% capacity, will need several days to clear out the containers once a full labor force is back to work.”

​​​​​​​The NAM says: “Manufacturers welcome last night’s announcement of a long-term deal between the #ILWU and #PMA. Certainty at America’s West Coast ports ensures reliability in domestic shipping lanes and keeps manufacturing in America competitive and thriving,” tweeted NAM President and CEO Jay Timmons.

• “@POTUS understands that manufacturing is the backbone of our economy, and @ShopfloorNAM thanks President Biden for his leadership in bringing these parties back together to reach a final agreement that eliminates the threat of additional supply chain disruptions.”

More than 99% of International Longshore and Warehouse Union Canada workers whose jobs are critical to West Coast port operations voted in favor of a labor strike, according to CNBC.

What’s going on: “The vote, which took place on June 9–June 10, occurred during a 21-day cooling-off period between the British Maritime Employers Association and ILWU Canada. Negotiations with the Federal Maritime Conciliation Service started on March 28. Two mediators appointed by the Canadian government were overseeing the discussions that ran through the end of May.”

• June 24 is the soonest a strike would occur.

In the U.S.: The Canadian development—which threatens the Port of Vancouver, the largest port in Canada—comes as tensions rise in the U.S. between the ILWU and the Pacific Maritime Association, which have been negotiating a labor contract since May 2022.

Why it’s a problem: About 15% of container trade that comes through the Port of Vancouver is destined for or coming from the U.S.

• “Canadian shippers could shift trade to the neighboring Port of Seattle, but the Port of Seattle has been significantly impacted by labor slowdowns and work stoppages which led to its closure on Saturday as the ILWU in the U.S. continues to negotiate with the Pacific Maritime Association for a new contract, with wages and automation proving to be sticking points.”

Why it’s important: The events in Canada are “a significant blow to operations on the West Coast,” ITS Logistics Vice President of Drayage and Intermodal Paul Brashier told the Journal.

• “These ports are vital to Midwest manufacturers and the auto industry, as most transpacific freight enters at these points prior to interlining to rail and going to inland rail ramps in Chicago and other major markets. More significant is that these ports were used as relief valves to avoid ILWU activity.”

Our view: The NAM has been recommending White House intervention in the U.S. labor dispute for many months.

• “[With] the dramatic impact of port closures, your leadership and intervention are needed,” NAM President and CEO Jay Timmons told President Biden last week. “Manufacturers respectfully encourage you to bring the parties back together and reach a final agreement that reopens our West Coast ports and eliminates the threat of additional supply chain disruptions.”

Producer prices dropped more than expected in May, and the annual producer-inflation increase was the smallest in almost two-and-a-half years, Reuters (subscription) reports.

What’s going on: “In the 12 months through May, the [Department of Labor’s Producer Price Index] climbed 1.1%. That was the smallest year-on-year rise since December 2020 and followed a 2.3% increase in April. The annual PPI rate is moderating as last year’s surge drops out of the calculation.”

• Producer prices for final demand goods fell 1.6% in May, owing largely to falling energy costs, after increasing an unrevised 0.2% in April.
• Economists surveyed by Reuters had predicted the PPI would dip 0.1% from April and rise 1.5% year-on-year.

The backdrop: The report comes a day after the Labor Department reported the smallest year-on-year increase in U.S. consumer prices in more than two years.

Why it’s important: Federal Reserve “officials are expected to keep rates unchanged at the end of their two-day meeting, for the first time since March 2022 when the U.S. central bank embarked on its fastest monetary policy tightening campaign in more than 40 years. … [The central bank] was seen leaving the door open to further rate increases given the economy’s resilience, particularly the labor market.”