Housing Market Finds New Equilibrium Despite Mortgage Rates and Buyer Demand
In August, the S&P Cotality Case-Shiller U.S. National Home Price NSA Index recorded a 1.5% annual gain, the weakest annual gain in over two years. The 10-City Composite saw an annual increase of 2.1% in August, down from 2.3% the previous month, while the 20-City Composite rose 1.6% year-over-year, down from 1.8%. Among the 20 cities, New York again posted the highest annual gain at 6.1%, followed by Chicago at 5.9% and Cleveland at 4.7%. Tampa again recorded the lowest annual return, with prices falling 3.3%.
On a month-over-month basis, the U.S. National Index ticked down 0.3% before seasonal adjustment. At the same time, the 10-City and 20-City Composites both decreased 0.6%. After seasonal adjustment, the National Index and the 10-City and 20-City Composites all edged up 0.2%.
The combination of high financing costs and prices remaining near record highs has limited activity. Before seasonal adjustment, all cities except Chicago saw prices drop in August. The Midwest and Northeast markets continued to outperform other regions. Meanwhile, the Sun Belt and Western markets continued declining, including Tampa (down 3.3%), Phoenix (down 1.7%), Miami (down 1.7%), San Francisco (down 1.5%) and Denver (down 0.7%).
Despite high mortgage rates continuing to weigh on buyer demand, it appears the housing market is finding a new equilibrium. Several major markets in decline signal recent appreciation has ended. These adjustments may lead to a more sustainable market in the long run.