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Scientists Forecast End of COVID-19 Pandemic

By NAM News Room

Leading disease experts expect the United States and other countries with high vaccination and natural immunity rates to gain a measure of control over COVID-19 by the end of 2022, according to Reuters.

The basics: Importantly, that doesn’t mean that the virus will disappear or cease to be a threat, but rather that it will transition into a less harmful endemic disease, perhaps a seasonal threat like the flu. It’s also possible that the virus could become an illness like the measles; still harmful, but largely only among unvaccinated populations.
Timeline for success: Experts predict the current delta wave in the U.S. will end this month and will mark the final COVID-19 surge to emerge from the pandemic. 

  • Epidemiologists from the World Health Organization predict that between now and the end of 2022, we will see a marked decrease in severe illness and death from the virus on a global scale. 
  • The WHO hopes to vaccinate 70% of the world’s population by the end of 2022. 

Warning for the future: Scientists warned that there is still a small “doomsday scenario” possibility that the virus continues to mutate in unvaccinated groups, leading to the emergence of a new variant that evades herd immunity. This scenario is a reminder of the importance of vaccination, which helps prevent the virus from circulating and mutating further.

Moving in the right direction: The WHO recently released a report that shows COVID-19 cases and deaths have been decreasing in all regions of the world since August. 

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